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10/12/2008

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I suggest that this was because the warnings were not addressed to the key issues: adequacy of finacial reserves to face possible losses; and quality of lending. In particular, it is surprising that academic accountants and economists did not get together to question just what "off-balance sheet" meant under stressed conditions; and that economists did not attempt to model the effects on credit -worthiness of the spreading of risk through complex OTC instruments. With hindsight, it is also surprising that the Fed did not attempt to monitor both the quality of mortgages as proposed by agents and the quality and implications of the rating agencies classifications of new types of complex debt instruents. On both, they seem to have had plenty of warning signs from non-academic sources.

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